BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 36 Conference: (8-13) Overall: (9-13) Overall Strength =   76.19

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Home    W *  89.27  84   58   4A   47 ( 4-18) Des Moines East        13.09     12.91                      
  2 12/06/2002 Home    W *  94.25  67   55   4A   15 (16- 6) WDM Valley             18.06     -6.06                      
  3 12/10/2002 Home    L *  76.91  51   62   4A    8 (22- 2) Indianola               0.72    -11.72                      
  4 12/13/2002 Away    W *  91.07  71   63   4A   23 (13-14) Marshalltown           14.88     -6.88                      
  5 12/17/2002 Away    L *  87.69  43   45   4A   10 (14- 9) Johnston               11.50    -13.50                      
  6 12/20/2002 Home    W *  75.48  52   50   4A   38 ( 7-16) Newton                 -0.70      2.70                      
  7 01/04/2003 Home    W *  88.37  48   45   4A   11 (11-10) Ames                   12.18     -9.18                      
  8 01/07/2003 Home    L *  79.88  41   58   4A    2 (23- 2) Des Moines Hoover       3.70    -20.70                      
  9 01/10/2003 Away    L *  78.65  48   52   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City              2.47     -6.47                      
 10 01/17/2003 Away    L *  82.49  47   50   4A   15 (16- 6) WDM Valley              6.31     -9.31                      
 11 01/24/2003 Home    L *  73.82  34   40   4A   23 (13-14) Marshalltown           -2.37     -3.63                      
 12 01/31/2003 Away    L *  67.73  39   48   4A   38 ( 7-16) Newton                 -8.45     -0.55                      
 13 02/01/2003 Home    W *  74.64  63   60   4A   41 ( 6-16) Des Moines Lincoln     -1.54      4.54                      
 14 02/04/2003 Home    L *  58.03  46   67   4A   26 (12-11) Ankeny                -18.15     -2.85                      
 15 02/07/2003 Away    L *  46.61  40   82   4A   11 (11-10) Ames                  -29.57    -12.43                      
 16 02/11/2003 Away    W *  77.54  63   58   4A   43 ( 5-18) Southeast Polk          1.36      3.64                      
 17 02/17/2003 Unknown L *  60.78  45   62   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City            -15.40     -1.60                      
 18 02/18/2003 Home    W *  85.68  46   40   4A   24 (14- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt    9.50     -3.50                      
 19 02/21/2003 Away    L *  64.36  45   60   4A   31 (10-13) Urbandale             -11.82     -3.18                      
 20 02/25/2003 Unknown W    86.94  62   42   4A   48 ( 4-18) Boone                  10.76      9.24                      
 21 02/28/2003 Home    L *  64.22  40   68   4A    5 (17- 5) WDM Dowling           -11.97    -16.03                      
 22 03/05/2003 Away    L *  71.65  43   54   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City             -4.53     -6.47                      
      Averages              76.19  50.8 55.4

Best game:   94.25 = 12 point win over West Des Moines Valley
Worst game:  46.61 = 42 point loss to Ames
Team stdev:  12.13